Who will be the next President of the French Republic? The dates of the 2022 presidential election are now known. The first round will be held on April 10 and the second on April 24, 2022.
Gerald Darmanin wants to discuss with Laurent Fabius, President of the Constitutional Council, the “modalities of the ballot in the health context”, although the dates of the election are not called into question, according to Gabriel Attal. According to information from Le Parisien, the Minister of the Interior will ask to meet Laurent Fabius to discuss the organization of the ballot in such a health context. He announced it to the senators this Tuesday, December 21. Could we then consider postponing the presidential election, scheduled for April 10 and 24, 2022.
“This is going to be THE subject, but we don’t know where we will be in April 2022, we cannot guarantee that we will not be in the 7th wave”, slipped a source close to the government in the columns of Parisian. According to the government spokesperson, the postponement is not even “neither on the table, nor under the table, nor in the cupboard next to the table. We will vote in April”, indeed assured his side Gabriel Attal on France 2 this Tuesday, December 21.
As Le Figaro announced, the former Keeper of the Seals “plans to be a presidential candidate” but refuses to be “one more candidacy”. “I plan to be a presidential candidate”, announced Christiane Taubira in a short video entitled “What matters is you” published on her Twitter account this Friday, December 17 at 11:30 am. A new candidacy that comes at a time when the left is more fragmented than ever. “I have always said that I will take my responsibilities. (…) I will put all my strength into the last chances of the union”, she explained, “in the face of the impasse” in which there is left. The former Minister of Justice of François Hollande “gives an appointment” to the French in “mid-January”.
Yannick Jadot did not fail to castigate the amateurism of this surprise pseudo-candidacy which is still not officially one. For the ecologist, it is “not totally up to the challenges facing France” “I know the values that inhabit it, but four months before the presidential election, I post a three-minute video and I’ll be back in a month, it’s not totally up to the difficulties that our country is facing,” he said on France Bleu. This Monday, December 20, the tone was friendlier on the side of the environmental candidate for president. Yannick Jadot appealed to the former Minister of Justice at the microphone of BFMTV. “Join the ecologists, Christiane. Put your talent at the service of a campaign that has worked, that has a project,” he said.
On franceinfo, Julien Bayou, national secretary of Europe Ecology-The Greens, also assured that it was not possible to wait “a month waiting for someone to consider whether or not to be a candidate”. “If Christiane Taubira is committed to ecology, social justice, democracy, that she supports the candidacy of Yannick Jadot”, he asserted.
It is an interview that aroused the anger of the entire opposition. Health crisis, “yellow vests”, little controversial phrases … In a long interview entitled “Where is France going?”, Emmanuel Macron took stock this Wednesday, December 15 in the evening for nearly two hours against Audrey Crespo-Mara and Darius Rochebin on TF1 and LCI. It is “a useful exercise at this time when the year is turning on its hinges to see where our country is”, declared the head of state.
While the President of the Republic has still not officially declared himself a candidate for his own succession, this interview was deemed unfair by most political leaders and candidates for the election. “On the form I found it very seductive at will. In substance, I regretted that he spoke mainly of himself and very little of France, it was a number of narcissism. I was his favorite target” , denounced on France Inter Éric Zemmour. “A propaganda broadcast from a candidate. This interview poses a real democratic problem! […] I demand fairness, the same broadcast, the same speaking time and above all, under the same conditions for the candidates of the opposition”, denounced for his part Éric Ciotti, one of the lieutenants of the right-wing candidate Valérie Pécresse. Communist candidate Fabien Roussel’s campaign manager, Ian Brossat, also lambasted a self-centered interview. “Macron had to talk about France. He talks about Macron. 67 million absent this evening: the French, their anger, their expectations, their hopes”. On the side of environmentalists, Benjamin Lucas, spokesperson for Yannick Jadot, contented himself with tweeting an ironic message regretting that Emmanuel Macron did not mention the climate crisis. “And if not, where is the climate going?
After months of cat and mouse, it is now official, Éric Zemmour is a candidate for the presidential election of 2022. “My dear compatriots, I am a candidate for the presidential election”, he said. announced on his Twitter account this Tuesday, November 30 around 1 p.m. Two hours earlier, he had shared a Youtube video in which he details the reasons for his decision. “I have decided to take our destiny into our own hands […] It is no longer time to reform France, but to save it”, he explains in a sober staging while reading a text with his eyes lowered in front of a desk, recalling General de Gaulle’s appeal. Éric Zemmour castigates a country that is no longer “the one you know”. The former journalist and polemicist explains that he wants to “give power back to the people” to counter “decadence”, “dispossession” and the “third-worldization of our country”.
This candidacy announcement will be followed by an interview in TF1’s 20 Hours newspaper. His candidacy formalization comes at a time when the polls are plummeting for him. While it had been given twice in the second round by polls, voting intentions are now between 12% and 15% depending on the barometers and the name of the future Republican candidate. According to the November Odoxa barometer published in La Voix du Nord this Wednesday, November 23, Éric Zemmour’s popularity rating would be at its lowest, just a few days before his probable presidential candidacy announcement. “The deterioration is spectacular on all indicators, including the qualities that we still attribute to him (-8 points on intelligence and the ability to convince, for example), but it is particularly strong with regard to his racism. (23 points), his misogyny (15 points) and above all his dangerousness (23 points)”, assures the president of the Gaël Sliman institute to the regional daily.
Emmanuel Macron is still undeclared, but there is little doubt about his intentions to defend his record and try to be re-elected for a second five-year term. On the left, it was Anne Hidalgo who declared herself a candidate who formalized, on Sunday, September 12, her candidacy for the presidency of 2022, to “offer a future to all our children” and “build a fairer France”. Stuck in the polls, the last of which only credits her with 3% of the vote, the socialist presidential candidate proposed this Wednesday, December 8 to everyone’s surprise on TF1 the organization of a primary on the left. A late and surprising request after his refusal to join Yannick Jadot at the start of the campaign. Very quickly, the main left-wing political parties clearly refused the proposal of the current mayor of Paris. On Europe 1 this Thursday, December 9 in the morning, the environmental candidate Yannick Jadot assured that he would not participate “because the election is in four and a half months: you have to be a little serious”. According to the MEP, Anne Hidalgo “acknowledged that her candidacy did not carry hope, which she could not gather.”
Same story on the side of Fabien Roussel. “Participating in a primary to ask the question of people is not the choice we want to make”, reacted the PCF candidate for the presidential election on franceinfo.
However, the activists of the “Popular Primary”, a citizen movement, are asking for a common candidacy on the left for the presidential election of 2022 and are pleading for a union of left-wing personalities. As Le Parisien reports, the militants of the “Popular Primary” began sit-ins this Wednesday, November 17 in front of the headquarters of La France Insoumise (LFI), Europe Écologie-les Verts (EELV) and the Socialist Party ( PS) in order to “put pressure” on left-wing political parties and urge them to come together around a common candidacy, five months before the election. “It’s completely irresponsible not to come together around an idea of the left, of ecology, of social justice”, assures Gaëlle Guillou, coordinator of volunteers from Île-de-France, in front of the headquarters of the rebellious in Paris.
Yannick Jadot, the environmental candidate elected in the primary, still hopes for a rally of the left around him in January 2022. “In January, I hope that we will collectively give ourselves the means for a rally”, he said. explained during an interview with the JDD this Sunday, November 21. He explains in detail why he believes he can be the man who embodies the left’s project for the 2022 presidential election. demand for social justice. It is therefore around our project, the environmental project, that a dynamic of gathering must be set in motion”, explains the MEP. For the environmentalist candidate, there is urgency. “I say to socialists as to all progressives : join us! Let’s build together the alternation to a five-year period of ecological renunciation, social regression and democratic collapse. Our country is so much better than the nauseating debates of today “, explains the presidential candidate. While the intentions of left-wing candidates are historically low, Yannick Jadot wants to believe in a start from the Republican left. “In the spring, I reached out to all the political leaders on the left, to all the environmentalists to bring them together around a common project. My hand remains outstretched,” he concludes.
Thunderbolt on the right: Xavier Bertrand was eliminated from the Republican primary in the first round. A real disappointment for the one who had declared himself the self-proclaimed candidate on the right and has long refused to participate in the primary. It is Valérie Pécresse and Éric Ciotti who qualify for the second round of this primary. The deputy of the Alpes-Maritimes (25.59%) and the president of the Ile-de-France region (25%) will therefore compete to become the right-wing candidate for the presidential election. Xavier Bertrand (22.26%) comes fourth behind Michel Barnier (23.93%). Philippe Juvin won 3.13% of the vote. The closing of the vote for the second round will take place this Saturday, December 4 at 2 p.m. In the process, Christian Jacob will announce the name of the right-wing presidential candidate. The five candidates had already pledged to support the winner’s campaign and will normally meet on December 11 for a large gathering congress which will take place at Porte de Versailles in Paris. A place that has been symbolic for right-wing politicians since Nicolas Sarkozy’s victory in 2007.
The questioning remains on the side of Éric Zemmour, journalist and polemicist who continues to prance in the lead in the polls, but who has still not officially declared himself a candidate. The far-right polemicist is given the second round of the presidential election regardless of the LR candidate according to a new Ipsos poll for Le Monde and CEVIPOF. He is also perceived as the candidate who “worries” the French the most with Marine Le Pen. It is for the second time given in the second round with 16% of the voting intentions in the event of the candidacy of Emmanuel Macron and Xavier Bertrand. Éric Zemmour, putative candidate for the presidential election, gathered his team for the first time in his campaign headquarters this Monday evening, October 25, according to information from BFMTV. Planet details what awaits you if ever elected.
While a new poll places them neck and neck for the 2022 presidential election, Marine Le Pen openly attacked Éric Zemmour’s “choice of provocation”. This Friday, October 22, during a trip to Brussels, the candidate of the National Rally assured that the polemicist “has no chance of reaching the second round” as reported by Le Figaro. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of La France insoumise, is launching after 2012 (11.1%) and 2017 (19%) in the 2022 presidential election under a new banner, that of “The popular union”.
Left voters will vote useful for Macron against the far right. More than half of potential voters for Yannick Jadot (EELV) and Anne Hidalgo (PS) and 41% of LFI supporters plan to vote for Emmanuel Macron in the first round to block the far right. This is what emerges from a study published by the Jean-Jaurès foundation this Thursday, October 28. The useful vote in favor of Emmanuel Macron in the first round, “to block the far right” in the event of the candidacy of polemicist Éric Zemmour, is envisaged by 54% of voters declaring themselves for Yannick Jadot and by 57% of those leaning towards Anne Hidalgo.
Faced with successive polls placing Éric Zemmour in the second round and Marine Le Pen close behind him, according to these voters, what is at stake in 2022, “it is not the very improbable presence for the moment of a candidate from the left in the second round, but the very presence of a candidate guarantor of the system and the institutions (not to say of democracy)”, explains to AFP, Adelaide Zulfikarpasic, director of the polling institute.
♦ François Asselineau (Republican People’s Union), 63 years old.
♦ Marine Le Pen (National Rally), 53 years old.
♦ Éric Zemmour (Reconquest), 63 years old.
♦ Jean-Frédéric Poisson (VIA, the people’s way), 58 years old.
♦ Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (Debout la France), 60 years old.
♦ Jean-Luc Mélenchon (La France insoumise), 70 years old.
♦ Valérie Pécresse (Les Républicains), 54 years old.
♦ Nathalie Arthaud (Labour struggle), 51 years old.
♦ Jean Lassalle, (Let’s resist!), 66 years old.
♦ Fabien Roussel (French Communist Party), 52 years old.
♦ Florian Philippot (Les Patriotes), 39 years old.
♦ Philippe Poutou (New Anti-Capitalist Party), 54 years old.
♦ Arnaud Montebourg (various left), 58 years old.
♦ Yannick Jadot (Europe Ecology-Les Verts), 54 years old.
♦ Anne Hidalgo (Parti socialiste), 62 ans.
As La Croix points out, other personalities have declared that they want to stand for election. This is the case of the lawyer and leader of the Animalist Party Hélène Thouy, the former environmentalist candidate for the 1988 presidential election Antoine Waechter, the figures of the yellow vests movement Jacline Mouraud and Éric Drouet, the railway worker (ex-NPA ) Anasse Kazib, the deputy (ex-LREM) of the French living outside France Joachim Son-Forget, the mayor of Tilloy-lez-Marchiennes – the first transgender woman elected to this post – Marie Cau, the police officer and trade unionist Alexandre Langlois, of the activist for the “citizens’ initiative referendum” Clara Egger, of the sovereigntist Georges Kuzmanovic or of the former general Antoine Martinez.
Thunderbolt in the presidential campaign. For the first time since the start of the polls, Emmanuel Macron is given the loser in the second round of the election. According to an Elabe poll carried out for BFM TV and L’Express published this Tuesday, December 7, Valérie Pécresse would win the race for the Élysée against the President of the Republic. The president of the Ile-de-France region, just elected by right-wing activists this Saturday, December 4 against Éric Ciotti is credited with 52% of the vote, against 48% for the current President of the Republic. Five months before the presidential election, this is a dangerous disavowal for Emmanuel Macron.
In the survey, that 32% of those polled did not wish to express a voting intention in this case. In the first round, Emmanuel Macron would have, according to this survey, totaled 23% of voting intentions (-2 points compared to the last wave), Valérie Pécresse 20% (11) and Marine Le Pen 15% (-5). As for Éric Zemmour, whose meeting degenerated into violence this Sunday, December 5 at the Villepinte exhibition center, is credited with 14% of the voting intentions (1).
According to the Odoxa barometer for November published in La Voix du Nord this Wednesday, November 23, Éric Zemmour’s popularity rating would be at its lowest, just a few days before his probable presidential candidacy announcement. “The deterioration is spectacular on all indicators, including the qualities that we still attribute to him (- 8 points on intelligence and the ability to convince, for example), but it is particularly strong with regard to his racism. (23 points), his misogyny (15 points) and above all his dangerousness (23 points)”, assures the president of the Gaël Sliman institute to the regional daily. He even becomes the most rejected political figure in the history of the Odoxa barometer with 61% dislike, 12 points more than Marine Le Pen. Its membership rating is also lower by 10 points less with 21%, against 31% for the president of the National Rally.
According to a new Ipsos poll for Le Monde and CEVIPOF and revealed by BFMTV on October 22, Éric Zemmour arrives in the second round ahead of Marine Le Pen with 16% of the vote against Emmanuel Macron at 24%. These results are based on the assumption that Xavier Bertrand represents the right (13%). Yannick Jadot is credited with 9% of the vote, against 5% for Anne Hidalgo.
In the case of a Valérie Pécresse (LR) candidacy, Emmanuel Macron reaches 25.5%, ahead of Éric Zemmour and Marine Le Pen tied at 16%. Valérie Pécresse remains 10% close to Yannick Jadot at 9.5%, ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 8%.
A previous Odoxa * poll, carried out for L’Obs and published Thursday, September 23, revealed the voting intentions of the French at the time. Éric Zemmour was then only credited with 10 to 10.5% of the vote.
But do the French really listen to the polls when it comes to voting? According to a poll conducted on November 2 and 3 by The Huffington Post, in partnership with YouGov, 71% of French people say that polls do not influence their vote in a presidential election, compared to only 18% who believe that polls have an impact on their vote. Sign of the mistrust of the French towards the media and polling institutes, 64%) of those polled even believe that polls on voting intentions are not reliable.
A survey that goes in the direction of the decision recently taken by the daily newspaper Ouest France. The press group has indeed decided not to commission any polls on voting intentions for presidential candidates during the campaign. 72% of people questioned by the Huffington Post survey approve of this choice.
As in the 2017 presidential election, Emmanuel Macron spent the most on his campaign. The one who was elected with 58.55% of the vote has committed nearly 16.7 million euros, says Liberation. According to figures from the National Commission for Campaign Accounts and Political Funding (CNCCFP), the Head of State has spent about as much as five years ago.
Valérie Pécresse and Jean-Luc Mélenchon complete the podium, with respectively 14.3 million euros and 13.7 million euros committed. The candidate Les Républicains bet big on telephone promotion by spending nearly 2.6 million euros. For its part, the candidate La France Insoumise has committed more than 7.8 million euros in public meetings.
Marine Le Pen (11.5 million), Eric Zemmour (11 million), Yannick Jadot (5.2 million) and Anne Hidalgo (3.7 million) follow. Far behind, we find Nathalie Arthaud (more than 890,000 euros), Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (more than 870,000 euros), Philippe Poutou (just under 820,000) and finally Jean Lassalle (more than 813,000 euros).