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July weather: what is the forecast until early August?

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This year, the summer school vacation period got off to a flying start. A summer start marked by strong heat and powerful thunderstorms last week. Fortunately, temperatures are expected to drop this week; again with more mixed weather in the north, which could well last until the end of the month. In the south, on the other hand, the weather will be more stable and above all warmer, announces Météo-France. Below are the weather trends for the next four weeks.

According to forecasts by the Weather Channel, the end of July heralds the end of the period of high heat in the country. Period during which the thunderstorms will shift to the east on Tuesday. At the rear, cooler ocean air will invade much of the country and it is this cooler and more mixed weather that will take over for the rest of this second week of July. Less active disturbances should continue over the northern half.

In the south, the weather will be much more summery, especially from the Pyrenees to the Alps and towards the Mediterranean. Temperatures will drop below normal north of the Loire at the end of the week, but strong to very hot weather will continue all week from the south of the Rhône valley to Provence. Note that the July 14 festivities. could be disturbed by rain on the northern half. The risk seems much lower elsewhere, especially in the Mediterranean.

This third week of July will continue on the same path with a succession of disturbances, not very active on the northern half. Storms may break out over all the reliefs of the southern half, but in general the sun will reign more easily, especially near the Mediterranean. A possible chill is possible in the middle of the week with values ​​2 to 3°C below normal. Only the Mediterranean rim should maintain seasonal values.

Under the influence of the Atlantic depression and with the rise of warmer air in a flow turning to the southwest sector, waves of storms could be organized from the southwest to the northeast. It seems that these storms can be violent and sometimes very rainy. However, the reliability of this evolution is still limited. At the end of the week, temperatures should rise to return to above normal for the season.

The anticyclone, which will have been lacking throughout July, could finally swell again towards Western Europe and France. It is thus a period of high heat and stable weather that could settle in our country. A risk of a heat wave is not excluded and heat storms will be likely to break out near the reliefs.

If you expect stable, dry, hot and lasting weather, you will certainly have to wait until August since a large part of the country should remain, this month of July, under the influence of disturbances. Only the Mediterranean and the south-eastern quarter could be spared and experience mostly dry and hot weather, even very hot.

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