In 2022, the legislative elections awarded the government a relative majority. With the pension reform project about to be voted on for the second time in the National Assembly, the risks of a dissolution are more than present. Indeed, after the adoption of the text by the Senate on Saturday March 11, a joint joint committee met on Wednesday 15, a day of mobilization against this reform.
The commission reached an agreement on a common version adopted by ten of the fourteen elected officials who participated in this commission behind closed doors at the Palais Bourbon. This agreement resulted in the adoption by the Senate this Thursday morning of the text by 193 votes “for” and 114 votes “against”, as reported by FranceInfo.
If this agreement should reassure the government, it still fears that it will not be in the majority for the vote in the lower house taking place on Thursday afternoon. That said, President Emmanuel Macron brought together the leaders of the parliamentary groups and majority parties on Thursday morning. They must meet again at 12 p.m. before the Assembly vote, which will begin at 3 p.m.
These fears of the government concerning the adoption of the reform lead to rumors about a possible dissolution of the hemicycle. Indeed, Wednesday evening March 15, Emmanuel Macron brought together, at the Elysee Palace, Elisabeth Borne and the ministers concerned by the reform project. According to comments collected by BFMTV, the president would have raised “the threat of dissolution in the event of a lost vote” in the Assembly. The opposition is therefore preparing for it, as evidenced by the publication of the president of the EELV group in the National Assembly, Cyrielle Chatelain. Find out in our slideshow below what would happen in the event of an early legislative election.
But, what would happen if a new legislative election took place? Harris Interactive, a polling company, conducted a study for Challenges magazine. This makes it possible to make predictions on the possible vote of the French if legislative elections should again take place.
In the presentation of the survey, we can read that “the majority of French people continue to believe that this situation is a good thing (69%) because it encourages the deputies of the majority to find compromises with their counterparts in the opposition”.
So will these legislative elections really be a game-changer for the government? Check out the possible scenario according to Harris Interactive in our slideshow below.