Heat, thunderstorms and drought: June is a taste of the summer ahead. According to the seasonal forecasts of La Chaîne Météo, which offers the dominant scenario for the months of July to September, the season will be hot. “On the other hand, it is confirmed that the rainfall deficit could be limited in the southern regions due to a marked stormy evolution. This would then be the main difference with last summer”, specifies the site specializing in meteorology.

On the mercury side, the values ​​should be well above the seasonal averages, with a difference of 1.5 to 2°C. “This hot trend was set up in June, a development which is seen quite unanimously by the seasonal numerical models”, notes the forecaster. According to the latter, heat waves would be inevitable, but contained by stormy degradation. The rainfall should be more favorable than last summer, but the models are still unreliable at this time.

According to the first weather trends, July could be the hottest month of the summer, accompanied by “heat feathers”. “We therefore envisage a hot month of July, with temperatures above seasonal averages close to 1.5° to 2° C, while the rainfall would be punctuated by thunderstorms, and more abundant in the southern third”, predicts La Weather Channel. On the other hand, the rainfall deficit could worsen north of the Loire.

What are the forecasts for the month of August?

For its part, the month of August promises to be more stormy and unstable. “The predominant centers of action should remain quite similar, with northern high pressures and low pressures further south,” explains La Chaîne Météo. The weather would be more disturbed, humid and stormy.

Over the month, the feeling will be less pleasant, but periods of hot and sunny weather are to be expected. “Temperature should be above seasonal averages of 1 to 1.5°C with uneven rainfall, but above normal over the southern to southwestern half,” concludes the site specializing in meteorology.

What’s the forecast for September?

What about September? The first month of meteorological autumn promises to be unstable and stormy. “At this time, the areas most exposed to storms remain difficult to predict, but the context could be conducive to strong Mediterranean storms”, explains the site specializing in meteorology. Temperatures should remain above normal values, setting up a tropical atmosphere throughout the territory.

Temperatures would remain above seasonal averages due to the flow from the south, in an atmosphere that would then be “tropical”.